Radnicki Nis 1-1 OFK Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-5.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
40%
Away Win
35%
+5.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnicki Nis EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY OFK Beograd EU Bookmakers 38%
-14% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
1.10/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.32/0.75
-24% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +110% / +30%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 82%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
25.1 Crosses 20.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnicki Nis
1-1
AWAY OFK Beograd
0.78 xG 1.68
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
356 Passes 319
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Radnicki Nis vs OFK Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnicki Nis and OFK Beograd couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Radnicki Nis had 51% of the ball to OFK Beograd's 49%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 0.78 to 1.68.

What was the final score of Radnicki Nis vs OFK Beograd?

Radnicki Nis 1-1 OFK Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnicki Nis vs OFK Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated an OFK Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Radnicki Nis 33%, draw 27%, OFK Beograd 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (OFK Beograd), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (OFK Beograd) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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