Chiangrai United 2-0 Lamphun Warrior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2024

Chiangrai United
2-0 HT 1-0
Lamphun Warrior
📅04/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Thailand - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Chiangrai United vs Lamphun Warrior Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.17
Draw
20%
2.94
Away
45%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.48
Over 2.5
48%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
28%
+7.1pp
19%
Draw
31%
-11.2pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+4.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
64%
-11.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
36%
+11.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.1pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chiangrai United v Lamphun Warrior — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chiangrai United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Lamphun Warrior EU Bookmakers 45%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
0.89/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.97
+7% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -33%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
220 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 76%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
15.4 Crosses 18.4
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.8

Chiangrai United vs Lamphun Warrior Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chiangrai United
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Lamphun Warrior
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.72 xG 0.35
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
195 Passes 333
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.01.2023 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 1-1 HT 0-0 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY
21.08.2022 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 0-1 HT 0-1 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY

Chiangrai United 2-0 Lamphun Warrior — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chiangrai United
2-0
AWAY Lamphun Warrior
0.63 xG 0.43
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
195 Passes 272
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chiangrai United vs Lamphun Warrior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chiangrai United beat Lamphun Warrior 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Lamphun Warrior at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Chiangrai United had 42% of the ball to Lamphun Warrior's 58%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.63 to 0.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chiangrai United had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chiangrai United and 0.50 for Lamphun Warrior.

What was the final score of Chiangrai United vs Lamphun Warrior?

Chiangrai United 2-0 Lamphun Warrior in the Thailand - 1st Division on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chiangrai United vs Lamphun Warrior?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lamphun Warrior win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Chiangrai United 35%, draw 19%, Lamphun Warrior 45%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lamphun Warrior) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lamphun Warrior) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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