Chornomorets Odessa 1-0 Obolon Kyiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.51
Over
45%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
41%
4-5
22%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.7pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.1pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-2.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Obolon Kyiv EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.14/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.87
+2% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -41%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
226 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chornomorets Odessa
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Obolon Kyiv
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Corners 3
26.02.2024 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv 1-1 HT 0-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
12.08.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 2-0 HT 1-0 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv UKR
POST-MATCH Chornomorets Odessa vs Obolon Kyiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chornomorets Odessa squeezed past Obolon Kyiv 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Chornomorets Odessa made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chornomorets Odessa had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chornomorets Odessa and 0.50 for Obolon Kyiv.

What was the final score of Chornomorets Odessa vs Obolon Kyiv?

Chornomorets Odessa 1-0 Obolon Kyiv in the Ukraine - Premier League on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chornomorets Odessa vs Obolon Kyiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chornomorets Odessa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chornomorets Odessa 39%, draw 31%, Obolon Kyiv 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chornomorets Odessa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chornomorets Odessa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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