Binh Dinh 1-4 Thanh Hoa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.7pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Binh Dinh EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Thanh Hoa EU Bookmakers 34%
-16% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.56/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.14
+20% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
370 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Binh Dinh
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Thanh Hoa
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
04.05.2024 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 0-0 HT 0-0 Binh Dinh Binh Dinh VİET
09.12.2023 Binh Dinh Binh Dinh 2-3 HT 0-2 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
27.07.2023 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 2-0 HT 1-0 Binh Dinh Binh Dinh VİET
08.04.2023 Binh Dinh Binh Dinh 0-1 HT 0-1 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
01.10.2022 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 2-1 HT 1-0 Binh Dinh Binh Dinh VİET
20.08.2022 Binh Dinh Binh Dinh 2-1 HT 0-0 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Binh Dinh
1-4
AWAY Thanh Hoa
30% Ball Possession 70%
5 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Binh Dinh vs Thanh Hoa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thanh Hoa cruised past Binh Dinh 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Binh Dinh at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Binh Dinh had 30% of the ball to Thanh Hoa's 70%, shots finished 5-23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thanh Hoa led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Binh Dinh and 1.50 for Thanh Hoa.

What was the final score of Binh Dinh vs Thanh Hoa?

Binh Dinh 1-4 Thanh Hoa in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Binh Dinh vs Thanh Hoa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Binh Dinh win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Binh Dinh 41%, draw 26%, Thanh Hoa 33%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Binh Dinh) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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