Austria Lustenau 3-2 Austria Wien II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.97
Over
51%
1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
61%
1.76
No
39%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
23%
3.43
2-3
45%
1.76
4-5
24%
3.18
6+
8%
11.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.15
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
15.1
X/1
18%
4.14
X/2
8%
9.51
X/X
7%
5.56
2/1
12%
22.25
2/2
12%
7.57
2/X
11%
16.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 12% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Austria Lustenau The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Wien II The Market 24%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
1.82 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.12
1.07 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.63
Average Attackvs comparable teams Average
Average Defensevs comparable teams Average
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
376 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 67%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
19.6 Crosses 11.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Lustenau
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Austria Wien II
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.05.2022 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 4-0 HT 3-0 Austria Wien II Austria Wien II AU2
19.11.2021 Austria Wien II Austria Wien II 1-4 HT 1-1 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
05.04.2021 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 0-3 HT 0-1 Austria Wien II Austria Wien II AU2
23.10.2020 Austria Wien II Austria Wien II 1-1 HT 0-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
07.03.2020 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 2-3 HT 0-1 Austria Wien II Austria Wien II AU2
09.08.2019 Austria Wien II Austria Wien II 0-2 HT 0-1 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
REVIEW Austria Lustenau vs Austria Wien II
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Austria Lustenau squeezed past Austria Wien II 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Austria Lustenau as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (61%), and that read landed as well.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Lustenau had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Austria Lustenau and 1.33 for Austria Wien II.

Austria Lustenau vs Austria Wien II Result & Final Score

Austria Lustenau 3-2 Austria Wien II in the Austria - 1st Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Austria Lustenau vs Austria Wien II Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Austria Lustenau win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Austria Lustenau 48%, draw 25%, Austria Wien II 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austria Lustenau), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Austria Lustenau) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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