Zakho 4-0 Newroz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 4 Oct 2025

Zakho
4-0 HT 3-0
Newroz
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
35%
3.35
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
2.03
No
44%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-9.0pp
35%
Draw
27%
+8.9pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
45%
+10.8pp
44%
BTTS No
55%
-10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zakho EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Newroz EU Bookmakers 25%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.29/1.47
+62% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +126% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zakho
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Newroz
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
24.05.2025 Newroz 0-0 HT 0-0 Zakho Zakho IRAK
POST-MATCH Zakho vs Newroz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zakho ran out comfortable winners over Newroz 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zakho as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Zakho vs Newroz?

Zakho 4-0 Newroz in the Iraq - Premier League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zakho vs Newroz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zakho win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Zakho 43%, draw 35%, Newroz 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zakho) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zakho) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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