Politeh Chişinau 1-2 FC Sheriff — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
10%
16.01
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
72%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.33
No
53%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
10%
1/X
3%
X/1
2%
X/2
28%
X/X
8%
2/1
2%
2/2
34%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
10%
Home Win
4%
+6.3pp
18%
Draw
11%
+7.2pp
72%
Away Win
85%
-13.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
39%
+7.8pp
53%
BTTS No
61%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Politeh Chişinau EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 90%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
0.53/3.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.45/0.35
+24% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +36%
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
239 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Politeh Chişinau
0W-0D-2L
AWAY FC Sheriff
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 3-0 HT 3-0 Politeh Chişinau MOLD
22.06.2025 Politeh Chişinau 0-4 HT 0-2 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Politeh Chişinau
1-2
AWAY FC Sheriff
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Politeh Chişinau vs FC Sheriff
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sheriff squeezed past Politeh Chişinau 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Sheriff as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Politeh Chişinau had 39% of the ball to FC Sheriff's 61%, shots finished 6-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, FC Sheriff led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Politeh Chişinau and 3.50 for FC Sheriff.

What was the final score of Politeh Chişinau vs FC Sheriff?

Politeh Chişinau 1-2 FC Sheriff in the Moldova - National League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Politeh Chişinau vs FC Sheriff?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Politeh Chişinau 10%, draw 18%, FC Sheriff 72%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sheriff), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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