Podbeskidzie Bielsko 2-3 Warta Poznan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 4 Oct 2025

Podbeskidzie Bielsko
2-3 HT 0-1
Warta Poznan
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Poland - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Podbeskidzie Bielsko vs Warta Poznan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.88
No
43%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.59
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
4.09
6+ Goals
11%
20.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.6pp
43%
BTTS No
51%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Podbeskidzie Bielsko v Warta Poznan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Podbeskidzie Bielsko EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.36/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.75
-7% / +116% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +90%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

Podbeskidzie Bielsko vs Warta Poznan Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Podbeskidzie Bielsko
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Warta Poznan
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.44 xG 0.96
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
256 Passes 268
70% Pass Accuracy 71%
12 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.03.2021 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 2-0 HT 0-0 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko POL
19.10.2020 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko 1-2 HT 0-0 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL
09.03.2020 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko 2-0 HT 1-0 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL1
21.08.2019 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 2-1 HT 1-1 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko POL1
20.07.2019 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko 0-1 HT 0-0 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan HAZ

Podbeskidzie Bielsko 2-3 Warta Poznan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Podbeskidzie Bielsko
2-3
AWAY Warta Poznan
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 21
8 Shots on Target 14
6 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Podbeskidzie Bielsko vs Warta Poznan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Warta Poznan squeezed past Podbeskidzie Bielsko 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Warta Poznan found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Podbeskidzie Bielsko had 53% of the ball to Warta Poznan's 47%, shots finished 10-21.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Warta Poznan led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Podbeskidzie Bielsko and 1.40 for Warta Poznan.

What was the final score of Podbeskidzie Bielsko vs Warta Poznan?

Podbeskidzie Bielsko 2-3 Warta Poznan in the Poland - 2nd Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Podbeskidzie Bielsko vs Warta Poznan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Podbeskidzie Bielsko win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Podbeskidzie Bielsko 39%, draw 30%, Warta Poznan 31%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Podbeskidzie Bielsko), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Podbeskidzie Bielsko) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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