AVS 1-3 Alverca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 4 Oct 2025

AVS
1 - 3 HT 1 - 1
Alverca
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2025/2026

AVS vs Alverca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.96
Draw
31%
3.12
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.61
Over
41%
2.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.97
No
51%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.38
2-3
46%
1.75
4-5
18%
4.73
6+
3%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.89
1/2
2%
31.5
1/X
5%
14.55
X/1
11%
6.18
X/2
15%
4.88
X/X
21%
3.91
2/1
2%
35.0
2/2
24%
3.41
2/X
5%
14.05
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

AVS v Alverca — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME AVS The Market 34%
Signal
AWAY Alverca The Market 43%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.05 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.45
1.31 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.05
Average Attack Strength Great
Average Defense Strength Average
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
15 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
12 Crosses –
3 Yellow Cards –

AVS 1-3 Alverca — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AVS
1 - 3
AWAY Alverca
0.48 xG 1.21
49% Ball Possession 51%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 5
349 Passes 369
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW AVS vs Alverca
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Alverca had too much for AVS 3-1 on their travels. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alverca as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (59%) never looked like landing.

The match data tells the story: AVS had 49% of the ball to Alverca's 51%, shots finished 5-12, expected goals 0.48 to 1.21.

AVS vs Alverca Result & Final Score

AVS 1 - 3 Alverca in the Portugal - Premier League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

AVS vs Alverca Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Alverca win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split AVS 28%, draw 31%, Alverca 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alverca) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alverca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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