Mazıdağı Fosfat SK 1-1 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+1.9pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.5pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mazıdağı Fosfat SK EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeşilyurt Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.67/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.63
+28% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
322 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mazıdağı Fosfat SK
1-1
AWAY Yeşilyurt Belediyespor
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mazıdağı Fosfat SK vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mazıdağı Fosfat SK and Yeşilyurt Belediyespor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Mazıdağı Fosfat SK at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mazıdağı Fosfat SK had 56% of the ball to Yeşilyurt Belediyespor's 44%, shots finished 12-10.

What was the final score of Mazıdağı Fosfat SK vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor?

Mazıdağı Fosfat SK 1-1 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mazıdağı Fosfat SK vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mazıdağı Fosfat SK win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mazıdağı Fosfat SK 47%, draw 24%, Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mazıdağı Fosfat SK), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mazıdağı Fosfat SK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
S3-2 More Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup
4 Oct 2025
14:00 12 Bingölspor vs Kırıkkale Büyük Anadoluspor Analysis →
19:00 Niğde Belediyesi Spor vs Osmaniyespor FK Analysis →