04/10/2025
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Polessya vs SK Poltava Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
72%
21%
Draw
18%
19%
Away Win
9%
58%
Under 2.5
48%
42%
Over 2.5
52%
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
57%
BTTS No
61%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Polessya v SK Poltava — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Polessya
EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY
SK Poltava
EU Bookmakers 12%
+3% /
+3%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+11% /
+11%
1.92/0.61
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.50/1.00
-7%
/
+11%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-30%
/
+91%
59%
Ball Possession
41%
16
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
8
Corners
4
386 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
306 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
0.7
Yellow Cards
1.5
POST-MATCH
Polessya vs SK Poltava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Polessya ran out comfortable winners over SK Poltava 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Polessya as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.
What was the final score of Polessya vs SK Poltava?
Polessya 4-0 SK Poltava in the Ukraine - Premier League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Polessya vs SK Poltava?
Before kick-off our model rated a Polessya win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Polessya 59%, draw 21%, SK Poltava 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polessya), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Polessya)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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UKR
More Ukraine - Premier League
4 Oct 2025