Polessya 4-0 SK Poltava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.3
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
19%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.95
Over 2.5
42%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
72%
-12.8pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.0pp
19%
Away Win
9%
+9.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.0pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polessya EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY SK Poltava EU Bookmakers 12%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.92/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.00
-7% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +91%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
386 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
POST-MATCH Polessya vs SK Poltava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polessya ran out comfortable winners over SK Poltava 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Polessya as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

What was the final score of Polessya vs SK Poltava?

Polessya 4-0 SK Poltava in the Ukraine - Premier League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polessya vs SK Poltava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polessya win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Polessya 59%, draw 21%, SK Poltava 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polessya), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Polessya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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