Nublense 1-4 Universidad Chile — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nublense EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 49%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -1%
1.11/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.01
-25% / +112% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -23%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
230 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 82%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
16.3 Crosses 20.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nublense
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Universidad Chile
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.35 xG 1.56
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
301 Passes 298
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.05.2024 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 0-0 HT 0-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
10.12.2023 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 3-1 HT 1-1 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
20.05.2023 Nublense Nublense 1-1 HT 1-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
17.07.2022 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 0-1 HT 0-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
22.02.2022 Nublense Nublense 3-2 HT 1-1 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
05.11.2021 Nublense Nublense 1-0 HT 0-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nublense
1-4
AWAY Universidad Chile
1.74 xG 1.56
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 10
244 Passes 373
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nublense vs Universidad Chile
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universidad Chile swept aside Nublense 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Universidad Chile as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nublense had 41% of the ball to Universidad Chile's 59%, shots finished 11-23, expected goals 1.74 to 1.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nublense had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nublense and 1.00 for Universidad Chile.

What was the final score of Nublense vs Universidad Chile?

Nublense 1-4 Universidad Chile in the Chile - Premier League on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nublense vs Universidad Chile?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universidad Chile win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Nublense 32%, draw 24%, Universidad Chile 44%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universidad Chile), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Universidad Chile) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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