Septemvri Sofia 1-0 Botev Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.4
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
54%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.75
Over 2.5
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
15%
+4.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.9pp
54%
Away Win
62%
-7.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.8pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 67%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
2.15/2.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+150% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
234 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Septemvri Sofia
1-0
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
34% Ball Possession 66%
4 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Septemvri Sofia edged past Botev Plovdiv 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Botev Plovdiv at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Septemvri Sofia had 34% of the ball to Botev Plovdiv's 66%, shots finished 4-18.

What was the final score of Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?

Septemvri Sofia 1-0 Botev Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Septemvri Sofia 19%, draw 26%, Botev Plovdiv 54%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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