PSM Makassar 1-1 Persik Kediri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.72
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
55%
-13.4pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.1pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.7pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSM Makassar EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Persik Kediri EU Bookmakers 22%
-8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +17%
1.45/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.14
-14% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
285 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSM Makassar
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Persik Kediri
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
221 Passes 258
02.09.2022 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 0-0 HT 0-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
18.01.2022 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 0-0 HT 0-0 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
23.09.2021 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 2-3 HT 2-2 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
POST-MATCH PSM Makassar vs Persik Kediri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSM Makassar and Persik Kediri shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was PSM Makassar at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, PSM Makassar had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for PSM Makassar and 0.67 for Persik Kediri.

What was the final score of PSM Makassar vs Persik Kediri?

PSM Makassar 1-1 Persik Kediri in the Indonesia League 1 on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSM Makassar vs Persik Kediri?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSM Makassar win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split PSM Makassar 41%, draw 31%, Persik Kediri 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (PSM Makassar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSM Makassar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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