Roasso Kumamoto 3-1 Vegalta Sendai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 4 Nov 2024

Roasso Kumamoto
3-1 HT 1-1
Vegalta Sendai
📅04/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2024

Roasso Kumamoto vs Vegalta Sendai Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.82
6+ Goals
9%
16.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 31% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.0pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-5.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Roasso Kumamoto v Vegalta Sendai — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 43%
-13% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.20/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.34
-1% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
274 · 59% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 66%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
36.0 Crosses 15.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.4

Roasso Kumamoto vs Vegalta Sendai Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
542 Passes 258
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.03.2024 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 0-0 HT 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
30.09.2023 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 1-0 HT 1-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
17.05.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 HT 0-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
16.10.2022 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 2-1 HT 1-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
27.04.2022 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 0-2 HT 0-1 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2

Roasso Kumamoto 3-1 Vegalta Sendai — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
3-1
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
433 Passes 380
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Roasso Kumamoto vs Vegalta Sendai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roasso Kumamoto beat Vegalta Sendai 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Roasso Kumamoto found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Roasso Kumamoto had 52% of the ball to Vegalta Sendai's 48%, shots finished 8-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Vegalta Sendai led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Roasso Kumamoto and 1.20 for Vegalta Sendai.

What was the final score of Roasso Kumamoto vs Vegalta Sendai?

Roasso Kumamoto 3-1 Vegalta Sendai in the Japan - J2 League on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roasso Kumamoto vs Vegalta Sendai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roasso Kumamoto win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Roasso Kumamoto 39%, draw 27%, Vegalta Sendai 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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