Budapest Vasas 3-1 Szentlorinc SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
30%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS Yes ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
60%
-13.5pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.9pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+11.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Budapest Vasas EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Szentlorinc SE EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +4%
2.02/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.23
+13% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +35%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
407 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Budapest Vasas
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Szentlorinc SE
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
08.05.2022 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas 4-1 HT 1-0 Szentlorinc SE Szentlorinc SE MAC2
24.11.2021 Szentlorinc SE Szentlorinc SE 0-2 HT 0-1 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas MAC2
07.02.2021 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas 3-0 HT 1-0 Szentlorinc SE Szentlorinc SE MAC2
16.08.2020 Szentlorinc SE Szentlorinc SE 1-5 HT 0-2 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Budapest Vasas
3-1
AWAY Szentlorinc SE
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Budapest Vasas vs Szentlorinc SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Budapest Vasas beat Szentlorinc SE 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Budapest Vasas as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Budapest Vasas had 56% of the ball to Szentlorinc SE's 44%, shots finished 18-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Budapest Vasas had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Budapest Vasas and 0.50 for Szentlorinc SE.

What was the final score of Budapest Vasas vs Szentlorinc SE?

Budapest Vasas 3-1 Szentlorinc SE in the Hungary - NB II on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Budapest Vasas vs Szentlorinc SE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Budapest Vasas win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Budapest Vasas 46%, draw 24%, Szentlorinc SE 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Budapest Vasas), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Budapest Vasas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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