Podbeskidzie Bielsko 0-1 Kalisz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 4 Nov 2024

Podbeskidzie Bielsko
0-1 HT 0-0
Kalisz
📅04/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Poland - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Podbeskidzie Bielsko vs Kalisz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.05
6+ Goals
9%
18.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 33% vs market 28.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-10.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+8.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.4pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Podbeskidzie Bielsko v Kalisz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Podbeskidzie Bielsko EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kalisz EU Bookmakers 24%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +17%
1.21/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.01
-30% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +64%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
402 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.7

Podbeskidzie Bielsko 0-1 Kalisz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Podbeskidzie Bielsko
0-1
AWAY Kalisz
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Podbeskidzie Bielsko vs Kalisz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalisz nicked a narrow win over Podbeskidzie Bielsko 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Podbeskidzie Bielsko at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Podbeskidzie Bielsko had 54% of the ball to Kalisz's 46%, shots finished 18-3.

What was the final score of Podbeskidzie Bielsko vs Kalisz?

Podbeskidzie Bielsko 0-1 Kalisz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Podbeskidzie Bielsko vs Kalisz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Podbeskidzie Bielsko win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Podbeskidzie Bielsko 43%, draw 28%, Kalisz 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Podbeskidzie Bielsko) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Podbeskidzie Bielsko) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →