Jedinstvo Ub 0-1 OFK Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.04
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
42%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
22%
+8.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.3pp
42%
Away Win
54%
-11.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.0pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jedinstvo Ub EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY OFK Beograd EU Bookmakers 57%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-2% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
255 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 76%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jedinstvo Ub
0W-0D-1L
AWAY OFK Beograd
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 10
26.11.2023 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 3-0 HT 0-0 Jedinstvo Ub Jedinstvo Ub SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jedinstvo Ub
0-1
AWAY OFK Beograd
1.60 xG 2.01
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
309 Passes 199
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jedinstvo Ub vs OFK Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFK Beograd nicked a narrow win over Jedinstvo Ub 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had OFK Beograd as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Jedinstvo Ub had 57% of the ball to OFK Beograd's 43%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.60 to 2.01.

What was the final score of Jedinstvo Ub vs OFK Beograd?

Jedinstvo Ub 0-1 OFK Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jedinstvo Ub vs OFK Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated an OFK Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Jedinstvo Ub 30%, draw 28%, OFK Beograd 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (OFK Beograd), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (OFK Beograd) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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