Pendikspor 1-0 Manisa FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.59
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.55
6+ Goals
10%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.71
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.65
X/1
20%
4.12
X/2 EV+ ✗
15%
7.43
X/X
11%
4.14
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
9%
6.16
2/X
7%
15.3
Value flag · X/2 at 7.43 — our 15% vs market 9.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.4pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 28%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -22%
1.10/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.53
-50% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
19.2 Crosses 16.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pendikspor
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Manisa FK
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.80 xG 0.60
55% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
488 Passes 204
83% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
24.12.2022 Pendikspor Pendikspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
19.10.2019 Manisa FK Manisa FK 4-2 HT 1-1 Pendikspor Pendikspor S2-B
24.02.2019 Pendikspor Pendikspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK S2-K
06.10.2018 Manisa FK Manisa FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pendikspor
1-0
AWAY Manisa FK
0.63 xG 1.38
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
208 Passes 389
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pendikspor vs Manisa FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pendikspor nicked a narrow win over Manisa FK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pendikspor as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Pendikspor had 39% of the ball to Manisa FK's 61%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.63 to 1.38 — on chances, Manisa FK could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Manisa FK led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Pendikspor and 1.50 for Manisa FK.

What was the final score of Pendikspor vs Manisa FK?

Pendikspor 1-0 Manisa FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pendikspor vs Manisa FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pendikspor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pendikspor 42%, draw 26%, Manisa FK 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pendikspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pendikspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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