Kagera Sugar 2-1 Dodoma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi, 4 Nov 2024

Kagera Sugar
2-1
Dodoma
📅04/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi – 2024

Kagera Sugar vs Dodoma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.33
Over 2.5
50%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.51
No
50%
1.46
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Draw ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-1.9pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.8pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
72%
-21.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
28%
+21.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
36%
+14.3pp
50%
BTTS No
64%
-14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kagera Sugar v Dodoma — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kagera Sugar EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Dodoma EU Bookmakers 36%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.78/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.88
-29% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -48%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Kagera Sugar vs Dodoma Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kagera Sugar
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Dodoma
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
21.01.2022 Dodoma 1-2 Kagera Sugar Kagera Sugar Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
POST-MATCH Kagera Sugar vs Dodoma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kagera Sugar nicked a narrow win over Dodoma 2-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Kagera Sugar found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Kagera Sugar vs Dodoma?

Kagera Sugar 2-1 Dodoma in the Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kagera Sugar vs Dodoma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kagera Sugar win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Kagera Sugar 33%, draw 33%, Dodoma 33%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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