Zorya Luhansk 1-2 LNZ Cherkasy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+0.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zorya Luhansk EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY LNZ Cherkasy EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.16/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/0.44
+5% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +138%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zorya Luhansk
0W-0D-2L
AWAY LNZ Cherkasy
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 15
7 Corners 6
19.05.2024 LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy 2-1 HT 0-1 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
12.11.2023 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 1-2 HT 0-1 LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zorya Luhansk
1-2
AWAY LNZ Cherkasy
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Zorya Luhansk vs LNZ Cherkasy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LNZ Cherkasy squeezed past Zorya Luhansk 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; LNZ Cherkasy found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, LNZ Cherkasy led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zorya Luhansk and 2.00 for LNZ Cherkasy.

What was the final score of Zorya Luhansk vs LNZ Cherkasy?

Zorya Luhansk 1-2 LNZ Cherkasy in the Ukraine - Premier League on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zorya Luhansk vs LNZ Cherkasy?

Before kick-off our model rated an LNZ Cherkasy win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Zorya Luhansk 36%, draw 26%, LNZ Cherkasy 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LNZ Cherkasy) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (LNZ Cherkasy) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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