Abha 1-0 Al Safa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 4 Dec 2024

Abha
1-0 HT 0-0
Al Safa
📅04/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Saudi Arabia - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Abha vs Al Safa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.82
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
51%
-11.3pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.0pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Abha v Al Safa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Abha EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Safa EU Bookmakers 27%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.50/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.94
+75% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +35%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7

Abha 1-0 Al Safa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Abha
1-0
AWAY Al Safa
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Abha vs Al Safa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Abha squeezed past Al Safa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; Abha found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Abha had 41% of the ball to Al Safa's 59%, shots finished 9-6.

What was the final score of Abha vs Al Safa?

Abha 1-0 Al Safa in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Abha vs Al Safa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Abha win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Abha 39%, draw 32%, Al Safa 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Abha), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Abha) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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