Alanyaspor 4-1 Fethiyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.29
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
73%
-12.0pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.7pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Fethiyespor EU Bookmakers 14%
+7% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
3.52/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.61
+48% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +46%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
437 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alanyaspor
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Fethiyespor
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
12.02.2012 Fethiyespor Fethiyespor 2-0 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor S2-K
14.03.2010 Fethiyespor Fethiyespor 4-0 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor T2B2
27.09.2009 Fethiyespor Fethiyespor 0-0 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor T2-2
12.04.2009 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 3-2 HT 2-1 Fethiyespor Fethiyespor T2B2
08.02.2009 Fethiyespor Fethiyespor 0-2 HT 0-1 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor T2B2
13.08.2008 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Fethiyespor Fethiyespor EĞİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alanyaspor
4-1
AWAY Fethiyespor
24 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alanyaspor vs Fethiyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alanyaspor swept aside Fethiyespor 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alanyaspor as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 24-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fethiyespor led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Alanyaspor and 1.50 for Fethiyespor.

What was the final score of Alanyaspor vs Fethiyespor?

Alanyaspor 4-1 Fethiyespor in the Turkey - Cup on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alanyaspor vs Fethiyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alanyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Alanyaspor 61%, draw 21%, Fethiyespor 18%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alanyaspor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alanyaspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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