Rukh Vynnyky 1-1 Polessya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.53
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
26%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.44
Over 2.5
40%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
30%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
36%
+11.0pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.8pp
26%
Away Win
33%
-7.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
66%
-5.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
34%
+5.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.4pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rukh Vynnyky EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Polessya EU Bookmakers 37%
+11% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.45/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.00
+32% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +5%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
249 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rukh Vynnyky
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Polessya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
25.02.2024 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 1-1 HT 1-1 Polessya Polessya UKR
12.08.2023 Polessya Polessya 0-1 HT 0-0 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rukh Vynnyky
1-1
AWAY Polessya
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rukh Vynnyky vs Polessya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rukh Vynnyky and Polessya couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Rukh Vynnyky at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rukh Vynnyky had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rukh Vynnyky and 0.50 for Polessya.

What was the final score of Rukh Vynnyky vs Polessya?

Rukh Vynnyky 1-1 Polessya in the Ukraine - Premier League on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rukh Vynnyky vs Polessya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rukh Vynnyky win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Rukh Vynnyky 47%, draw 27%, Polessya 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rukh Vynnyky), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rukh Vynnyky) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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