Bangkok United 2-2 Lion City Sailors FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCAKŞ, 4 Dec 2025

📅04/12/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
35%
3.54
Away
22%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.15
Over 2.5
62%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.56
No
35%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
4.05
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
38%
2.91
6+ Goals
10%
8.81
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.91 — our 38% vs market 27.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.4pp
35%
Draw
25%
+9.8pp
23%
Away Win
29%
-6.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
43%
-5.0pp
62%
Over 2.5
57%
+5.0pp
65%
BTTS Yes
60%
+5.4pp
35%
BTTS No
40%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bangkok United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Lion City Sailors FC EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bangkok United
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Lion City Sailors FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.70 xG 0.60
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
426 Passes 237
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.11.2025 Lion City Sailors FC Lion City Sailors FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Bangkok United Bangkok United AFCŞL2
23.10.2025 Bangkok United Bangkok United 1-0 HT 0-0 Lion City Sailors FC Lion City Sailors FC AFCŞL2
29.11.2023 Bangkok United Bangkok United 1-0 HT 0-0 Lion City Sailors FC Lion City Sailors FC AŞMP
20.09.2023 Lion City Sailors FC Lion City Sailors FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Bangkok United Bangkok United AŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bangkok United
2-2
AWAY Lion City Sailors FC
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bangkok United vs Lion City Sailors FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangkok United and Lion City Sailors FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Bangkok United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (65%) came in.

On the day, Bangkok United had 62% of the ball to Lion City Sailors FC's 38%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bangkok United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bangkok United and 0.50 for Lion City Sailors FC.

What was the final score of Bangkok United vs Lion City Sailors FC?

Bangkok United 2-2 Lion City Sailors FC in the AFCAKŞ on 04/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bangkok United vs Lion City Sailors FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bangkok United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bangkok United 43%, draw 35%, Lion City Sailors FC 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bangkok United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bangkok United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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