MC Alger 1-0 El Bayadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - National Cup, 4 Dec 2025

📅04/12/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.43
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
12%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.6
Over 2.5
54%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.6
No
52%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
27%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
65%
+3.6pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.7pp
12%
Away Win
12%
+0.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
59%
-12.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
41%
+12.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
34%
+14.1pp
52%
BTTS No
66%
-14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MC Alger EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY El Bayadh EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MC Alger
4W-2D-0L
AWAY El Bayadh
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
09.11.2025 El Bayadh El Bayadh 0-1 HT 0-0 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
26.04.2025 MC Alger MC Alger 0-0 HT 0-0 El Bayadh El Bayadh CZYR
15.11.2024 El Bayadh El Bayadh 0-1 HT 0-0 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
24.02.2024 El Bayadh El Bayadh 0-0 HT 0-0 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
30.09.2023 MC Alger MC Alger 2-0 HT 1-0 El Bayadh El Bayadh CZYR
15.07.2023 MC Alger MC Alger 1-0 HT 0-0 El Bayadh El Bayadh CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MC Alger
1-0
AWAY El Bayadh
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH MC Alger vs El Bayadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MC Alger squeezed past El Bayadh 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had MC Alger as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, MC Alger had 62% of the ball to El Bayadh's 38%, shots finished 9-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MC Alger had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for MC Alger and 0.00 for El Bayadh.

What was the final score of MC Alger vs El Bayadh?

MC Alger 1-0 El Bayadh in the Algeria - National Cup on 04/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MC Alger vs El Bayadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a MC Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split MC Alger 69%, draw 19%, El Bayadh 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MC Alger), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MC Alger) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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