Liesti 4-7 Metalul Buzau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - Cup, 4 Dec 2025

📅04/12/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.09
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
62%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.23
Over 2.5
63%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.73
No
40%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
30%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
17%
+3.6pp
17%
Draw
21%
-3.2pp
62%
Away Win
63%
-0.5pp
37%
Under 2.5
41%
-4.0pp
63%
Over 2.5
59%
+4.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
54%
+5.8pp
40%
BTTS No
46%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liesti EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Metalul Buzau EU Bookmakers 67%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
229 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Liesti vs Metalul Buzau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metalul Buzau swept aside Liesti 7-4 away from home. Half-time: 3-4. 11 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Metalul Buzau as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 7-4 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Liesti vs Metalul Buzau?

Liesti 4-7 Metalul Buzau in the Romania - Cup on 04/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liesti vs Metalul Buzau?

Before kick-off our model rated an Metalul Buzau win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Liesti 20%, draw 17%, Metalul Buzau 62%. The final score 4-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Metalul Buzau), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Metalul Buzau) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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