Sporting Lieşti 4-7 Metalul Buzau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania Cup, 4 Dec 2025

📅04/12/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.34
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
56%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.73
No
40%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+7.0pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.5pp
56%
Away Win
64%
-8.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
54%
+6.2pp
40%
BTTS No
46%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Lieşti EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Metalul Buzau EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
222 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Sporting Lieşti vs Metalul Buzau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metalul Buzau swept aside Sporting Lieşti 7-4 away from home. Half-time: 3-4. 11 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Metalul Buzau as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 7-4 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Sporting Lieşti vs Metalul Buzau?

Sporting Lieşti 4-7 Metalul Buzau in the Romania Cup on 04/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Lieşti vs Metalul Buzau?

Before kick-off our model rated an Metalul Buzau win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sporting Lieşti 22%, draw 22%, Metalul Buzau 56%. The final score 4-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Metalul Buzau), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Metalul Buzau) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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