Simba 3-0 Mbeya City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi, 4 Dec 2025

📅04/12/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.16
Draw
33%
6.26
Away
33%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.6
No
50%
1.43
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
82%
-48.2pp
33%
Draw
13%
+20.4pp
33%
Away Win
6%
+27.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
34%
+15.7pp
50%
BTTS No
66%
-15.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Simba EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Mbeya City EU Bookmakers 8%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.77/0.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.56
+5% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Simba
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Mbeya City
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
17.01.2022 Mbeya City Mbeya City 1-0 Simba Simba Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Simba
3-0
AWAY Mbeya City
67% Ball Possession 33%
23 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Simba vs Mbeya City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Simba ran out comfortable winners over Mbeya City 3-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Simba made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Simba had 67% of the ball to Mbeya City's 33%, shots finished 23-6.

What was the final score of Simba vs Mbeya City?

Simba 3-0 Mbeya City in the Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi on 04/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Simba vs Mbeya City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Simba win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Simba 33%, draw 33%, Mbeya City 33%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi More Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
4 Dec 2025
16:00 Young Africans vs Fountain Gate Analysis →