Queens Park 2-1 Dunfermline Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 5 Jan 2024

📅05/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.29
Over 2.5
46%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.36
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
2.88
6+ Goals
10%
8.47
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.36 — our 28% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.23
1/2
8%
22.6
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1
7%
6.49
X/2
12%
4.91
X/X
16%
5.57
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
21%
2.89
2/X
7%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-4.0pp
31%
Draw
24%
+7.0pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-3.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
40%
+13.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
60%
-13.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.5pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queens Park EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 48%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -30%
1.59/2.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.14
+40% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 67%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
32.0 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queens Park
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
16.09.2023 Queens Park Queens Park 0-2 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
07.05.2022 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Queens Park Queens Park İK1
04.05.2022 Queens Park Queens Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İK1
18.11.2017 Queens Park Queens Park 1-4 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKK
08.10.2016 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 2-1 HT 0-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queens Park
2-1
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 4
7 Corners 0
FAQ Queens Park vs Dunfermline Athletic
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Queens Park edged past Dunfermline Athletic 2-1 in the Scotland - Championship on 5 Jan 2024. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Queens Park had 53% of the ball to Dunfermline Athletic's 47%, shots finished 13-4.

Across their last 5 meetings in our records, Dunfermline Athletic lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Queens Park and 1.60 for Dunfermline Athletic.

What was the final score of Queens Park vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Queens Park 2-1 Dunfermline Athletic in the Scotland - Championship on 05/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queens Park vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dunfermline Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Queens Park 28%, draw 31%, Dunfermline Athletic 41%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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