Awassa Kenema 1-2 Ethiopia Bunna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 5 Jan 2024

📅05/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
No
61%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
23%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.2pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.1pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Awassa Kenema EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna EU Bookmakers 30%
-68% / -68% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-100% / -67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -50%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Awassa Kenema
1-2
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Bunna nicked a narrow win over Awassa Kenema 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Awassa Kenema at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Awassa Kenema had 39% of the ball to Ethiopia Bunna's 61%, shots finished 7-17.

What was the final score of Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna?

Awassa Kenema 1-2 Ethiopia Bunna in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 05/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Awassa Kenema win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Awassa Kenema 44%, draw 29%, Ethiopia Bunna 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Awassa Kenema) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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