Llanelli Town 3-2 Afan Lido — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 5 Jan 2024

📅05/01/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.47
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
18%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%
1.31
No
30%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
64%
-3.1pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.2pp
18%
Away Win
19%
-1.1pp
70%
BTTS Yes
72%
-2.4pp
30%
BTTS No
28%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llanelli Town EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Afan Lido EU Bookmakers 22%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.18/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/2.17
-4% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
387 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llanelli Town
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Afan Lido
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
17.11.2023 Afan Lido Afan Lido 0-3 HT 0-2 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
03.03.2023 Afan Lido Afan Lido 0-1 HT 0-0 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
29.07.2022 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 3-1 HT 1-1 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
18.03.2022 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
POST-MATCH Llanelli Town vs Afan Lido
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llanelli Town squeezed past Afan Lido 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Llanelli Town as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (70%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Llanelli Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Llanelli Town and 0.50 for Afan Lido.

What was the final score of Llanelli Town vs Afan Lido?

Llanelli Town 3-2 Afan Lido in the Wales - FAW Championship on 05/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llanelli Town vs Afan Lido?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llanelli Town win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Llanelli Town 60%, draw 22%, Afan Lido 18%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Llanelli Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Llanelli Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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