Aberystwyth Town 1-0 Colwyn Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 5 Jan 2024

Aberystwyth Town
1-0 HT 0-0
Colwyn Bay
📅05/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2023/2024

Aberystwyth Town vs Colwyn Bay Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
30%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.43
No
41%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.13
2-3 Goals
42%
1.93
4-5 Goals
29%
2.59
6+ Goals
9%
6.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.9pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
30%
Away Win
35%
-5.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.7pp
41%
BTTS No
34%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aberystwyth Town v Colwyn Bay — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Colwyn Bay EU Bookmakers 39%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.84/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+25% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Aberystwyth Town vs Colwyn Bay Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberystwyth Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Colwyn Bay
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Corners 4
The Meetings
15.09.2023 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 3-1 HT 2-1 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL

Aberystwyth Town 1-0 Colwyn Bay — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aberystwyth Town
1-0
AWAY Colwyn Bay
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Aberystwyth Town vs Colwyn Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberystwyth Town edged past Colwyn Bay 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aberystwyth Town as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aberystwyth Town had 39% of the ball to Colwyn Bay's 61%, shots finished 7-14.

What was the final score of Aberystwyth Town vs Colwyn Bay?

Aberystwyth Town 1-0 Colwyn Bay in the Wales - Premier League on 05/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberystwyth Town vs Colwyn Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aberystwyth Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Aberystwyth Town 42%, draw 28%, Colwyn Bay 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aberystwyth Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aberystwyth Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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