05/01/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
Greater Tomorrow vs TMT Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
Over
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
44%
4-5
19%
6+
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
25%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 64% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
42%
Home Win
49%
37%
Draw
25%
21%
Away Win
26%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Greater Tomorrow v TMT — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Greater Tomorrow
The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
TMT
The Market 29%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
56%
Ball Possession
44%
11
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
5
392 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
269 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Greater Tomorrow vs TMT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Greater Tomorrow squeezed past TMT 2-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 37% / 21% — and on the day Greater Tomorrow made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Greater Tomorrow vs TMT?
Greater Tomorrow 2-1 TMT in the Gambiya - GFA League on 05/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Greater Tomorrow vs TMT?
Before kick-off our model rated a Greater Tomorrow win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Greater Tomorrow 42%, draw 37%, TMT 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greater Tomorrow) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Greater Tomorrow)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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GAM
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