Ejea 0-1 SD Logrones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 5 Jan 2025

Ejea
0-1
SD Logrones
📅05/01/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division RFEF – 2024/2025

Ejea vs SD Logrones Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.54
Over
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
40%
4-5
18%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.4pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.5pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.6pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ejea v SD Logrones — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ejea EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY SD Logrones EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.43/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/0.75
+18% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +89% / +49%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
264 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8

Ejea vs SD Logrones Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ejea
0W-1D-1L
AWAY SD Logrones
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.02.2021 SD Logrones SD Logrones 1-0 HT 1-0 Ejea Ejea İS3
29.11.2020 Ejea Ejea 0-0 HT 0-0 SD Logrones SD Logrones İS3
POST-MATCH Ejea vs SD Logrones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SD Logrones edged past Ejea 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day SD Logrones made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, SD Logrones led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Ejea and 0.50 for SD Logrones.

What was the final score of Ejea vs SD Logrones?

Ejea 0-1 SD Logrones in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ejea vs SD Logrones?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ejea win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ejea 38%, draw 29%, SD Logrones 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ejea) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ejea) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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