Chabab Ben Guerir 0-1 Olympique Khouribga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 5 Jan 2025

📅05/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.81
No
49%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-11.0pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.5pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
32%
+19.6pp
49%
BTTS No
68%
-19.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chabab Ben Guerir EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympique Khouribga EU Bookmakers 19%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.02/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.07
-33% / +125% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +29%
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
237 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chabab Ben Guerir
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Olympique Khouribga
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
08.06.2024 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir 0-0 HT 0-0 Olympique Khouribga Olympique Khouribga FAS2
10.12.2023 Olympique Khouribga Olympique Khouribga 1-0 HT 0-0 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir FAS2
POST-MATCH Chabab Ben Guerir vs Olympique Khouribga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympique Khouribga nicked a narrow win over Chabab Ben Guerir 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Chabab Ben Guerir at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Olympique Khouribga led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Chabab Ben Guerir and 0.50 for Olympique Khouribga.

What was the final score of Chabab Ben Guerir vs Olympique Khouribga?

Chabab Ben Guerir 0-1 Olympique Khouribga in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chabab Ben Guerir vs Olympique Khouribga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chabab Ben Guerir win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Chabab Ben Guerir 46%, draw 31%, Olympique Khouribga 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chabab Ben Guerir), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chabab Ben Guerir) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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