Cape Town City 1-0 Kaizer Chiefs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 5 Jan 2025

📅05/01/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
5.32
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
+0.1pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.7pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cape Town City EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaizer Chiefs EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -21%
1.21/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.94
-2% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
19.2 Crosses 21.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cape Town City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kaizer Chiefs
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.91 xG 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
295 Passes 358
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.03.2024 Cape Town City Cape Town City 0-0 HT 0-0 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
03.10.2023 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 0-1 HT 0-0 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
13.08.2023 Cape Town City Cape Town City 1-2 HT 1-1 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAF8K
23.08.2022 Cape Town City Cape Town City 2-0 HT 1-0 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
30.04.2022 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 1-2 HT 0-1 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
15.02.2022 Cape Town City Cape Town City 0-0 HT 0-0 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cape Town City
1-0
AWAY Kaizer Chiefs
0.65 xG 0.95
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 10
205 Passes 368
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 32
7 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cape Town City vs Kaizer Chiefs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cape Town City edged past Kaizer Chiefs 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Cape Town City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cape Town City had 38% of the ball to Kaizer Chiefs's 62%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 0.65 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cape Town City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cape Town City and 0.50 for Kaizer Chiefs.

What was the final score of Cape Town City vs Kaizer Chiefs?

Cape Town City 1-0 Kaizer Chiefs in the South Afrika - Premier League on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cape Town City vs Kaizer Chiefs?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kaizer Chiefs win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cape Town City 35%, draw 29%, Kaizer Chiefs 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kaizer Chiefs) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kaizer Chiefs) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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