Ghazl El Mehalla 1-0 Sporting Alexandria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Cup, 5 Jan 2025

📅05/01/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.45
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.67
Over
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.4
No
56%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
41%
4-5
16%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
53%
Home Win
65%
-11.9pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.7pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+5.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.0pp
56%
BTTS No
62%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla The Market 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Alexandria The Market 16%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-48% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
404 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Ghazl El Mehalla vs Sporting Alexandria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ghazl El Mehalla squeezed past Sporting Alexandria 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ghazl El Mehalla as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Ghazl El Mehalla vs Sporting Alexandria?

Ghazl El Mehalla 1-0 Sporting Alexandria in the Egypt - Cup on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Sporting Alexandria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ghazl El Mehalla win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Ghazl El Mehalla 53%, draw 29%, Sporting Alexandria 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ghazl El Mehalla), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ghazl El Mehalla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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