Abha 2-1 Diriyah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 5 Jan 2026

Abha
2-1 HT 1-1
Diriyah
📅05/01/2026 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Saudi Arabia - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Abha vs Diriyah Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.9pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Abha v Diriyah — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Abha EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Diriyah EU Bookmakers 40%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.39/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/2.00
+22% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -46%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Abha vs Diriyah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Abha nicked a narrow win over Diriyah 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Abha found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Abha vs Diriyah?

Abha 2-1 Diriyah in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 05/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Abha vs Diriyah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Diriyah win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Abha 36%, draw 27%, Diriyah 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Diriyah), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Diriyah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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