Nottingham Forest U21 1-2 Newcastle United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League Cup, 5 Feb 2024

Nottingham Forest U21
1-2 HT 1-0
Newcastle United U21
📅05/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
England - Premier League Cup – 2023/2024

Nottingham Forest U21 vs Newcastle United U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.76
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
22%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.63
Over 2.5
58%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
15%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
52%
+3.5pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.2pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-3.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
34%
+7.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
66%
-7.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.5pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nottingham Forest U21 v Newcastle United U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nottingham Forest U21 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle United U21 EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Nottingham Forest U21 vs Newcastle United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle United U21 squeezed past Nottingham Forest U21 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Nottingham Forest U21 at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Nottingham Forest U21 vs Newcastle United U21?

Nottingham Forest U21 1-2 Newcastle United U21 in the England - Premier League Cup on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nottingham Forest U21 vs Newcastle United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nottingham Forest U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest U21 56%, draw 22%, Newcastle United U21 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nottingham Forest U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nottingham Forest U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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