Real Zaragoza 3-0 Sporting Gijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 5 Feb 2024

Real Zaragoza
3-0 HT 1-0
Sporting Gijon
📅05/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Real Zaragoza vs Sporting Gijon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.03
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
16%
6.35
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.32
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
11%
15.1
X/1
16%
4.36
X/2
12%
6.25
X/X
15%
3.38
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
10%
5.47
2/X
7%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.7pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.3pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.5pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.8pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Zaragoza v Sporting Gijon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +5%
1.20/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.23
-11% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
21.7 Crosses 16.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7

Real Zaragoza vs Sporting Gijon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Zaragoza
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sporting Gijon
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.96 xG 1.34
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
297 Passes 354
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.10.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 2-2 HT 0-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
22.01.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
17.09.2022 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
27.02.2022 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-2 HT 0-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
07.11.2021 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 2-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
23.04.2021 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2

Real Zaragoza 3-0 Sporting Gijon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Zaragoza
3-0
AWAY Sporting Gijon
1.95 xG 0.32
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
250 Passes 352
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Zaragoza vs Sporting Gijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Zaragoza ran out comfortable winners over Sporting Gijon 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 33% / 29% — and on the day Real Zaragoza made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

On the day, Real Zaragoza had 42% of the ball to Sporting Gijon's 58%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.95 to 0.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Zaragoza had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Real Zaragoza and 0.67 for Sporting Gijon.

What was the final score of Real Zaragoza vs Sporting Gijon?

Real Zaragoza 3-0 Sporting Gijon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Zaragoza vs Sporting Gijon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Zaragoza win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Real Zaragoza 38%, draw 33%, Sporting Gijon 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Zaragoza), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Zaragoza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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