Bayern München (K) 4-0 Freiburg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 5 Feb 2024

Bayern München (K)
4-0 HT 2-0
Freiburg (K)
📅05/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Bayern München (K) vs Freiburg (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.16
Draw
21%
7.13
Away
18%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.29
No
52%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
82%
-21.3pp
21%
Draw
11%
+9.7pp
18%
Away Win
7%
+11.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.1pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayern München (K) v Freiburg (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern München (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-62% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
519 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 73%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.0 Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Bayern München (K) vs Freiburg (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern München (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Freiburg (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
The Meetings
15.09.2023 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) 2-2 HT 1-1 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) ALKB

Bayern München (K) 4-0 Freiburg (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern München (K)
4-0
AWAY Freiburg (K)
1.60 xG 0.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 0
8 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 0
560 Passes 243
87% Pass Accuracy 72%
48 Box Touches 5
21 Crosses 6
POST-MATCH Bayern München (K) vs Freiburg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München (K) ran out comfortable winners over Freiburg (K) 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bayern München (K) as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Bayern München (K) had 66% of the ball to Freiburg (K)'s 34%, shots finished 19-0, expected goals 1.60 to 0.00.

What was the final score of Bayern München (K) vs Freiburg (K)?

Bayern München (K) 4-0 Freiburg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern München (K) vs Freiburg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern München (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Bayern München (K) 61%, draw 21%, Freiburg (K) 18%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München (K)), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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