Kapaz 3-1 Araz Nahçıvan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 5 Feb 2024

Kapaz
3-1 HT 2-1
Araz Nahçıvan
📅05/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2023/2024

Kapaz vs Araz Nahçıvan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kapaz v Araz Nahçıvan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapaz EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 46%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -55% / -55%
0.90/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-21% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -47%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
278 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards –

Kapaz vs Araz Nahçıvan Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapaz
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
10.11.2023 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 0-1 HT 0-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
03.09.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 1-2 HT 0-2 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
POST-MATCH Kapaz vs Araz Nahçıvan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kapaz got the better of Araz Nahçıvan 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Kapaz found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kapaz and 1.00 for Araz Nahçıvan.

What was the final score of Kapaz vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Kapaz 3-1 Araz Nahçıvan in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapaz vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Araz Nahçıvan win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kapaz 32%, draw 29%, Araz Nahçıvan 39%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Araz Nahçıvan) ✗ Under 2.5
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