Hercilio Luz 3-3 Internacional SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Catarinense 1, 5 Feb 2024

📅05/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
43%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
13%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
26%
+6.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
43%
Away Win
48%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hercilio Luz EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Internacional SC EU Bookmakers 53%
+48% / +48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -68% / -68%
1.34/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+19% / +128% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -41%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hercilio Luz
3-3
AWAY Internacional SC
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Hercilio Luz vs Internacional SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hercilio Luz and Internacional SC shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Internacional SC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Hercilio Luz had 59% of the ball to Internacional SC's 41%, shots finished 20-10.

What was the final score of Hercilio Luz vs Internacional SC?

Hercilio Luz 3-3 Internacional SC in the Brazil - Catarinense 1 on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hercilio Luz vs Internacional SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Internacional SC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hercilio Luz 33%, draw 24%, Internacional SC 43%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Internacional SC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Internacional SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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