Bastia 1-0 Ajaccio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 5 Feb 2024

Bastia
1 - 0 HT 0 - 0
Ajaccio
📅05/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2023/2024

Bastia vs Ajaccio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.45
Draw
38%
2.69
Away
26%
3.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
76%
1.34
Over
24%
3.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.54
No
61%
1.45
Total Goals
0-1
48%
1.72
2-3
42%
1.95
4-5
9%
8.78
6+
1%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.95
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
6%
16.35
X/1
15%
4.65
X/2
11%
5.58
X/X
26%
2.92
2/1
2%
34.0
2/2
13%
5.06
2/X
6%
16.55
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome. ★ This match carries Gold/Silver/Bronze value markets — free account to see them.

Bastia v Ajaccio — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Bastia The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajaccio The Market 33%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.03 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.85
0.87 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.07
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Strong
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 76%
15 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2

Bastia vs Ajaccio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bastia
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ajaccio
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.54 xG 0.81
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
243 Passes 335
68% Pass Accuracy 75%
5 Box Touches 18
6 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.10.2023 Ajaccio Ajaccio 2-0 HT 0-0 Bastia Bastia FR2
12.03.2022 Ajaccio Ajaccio 0-1 HT 0-1 Bastia Bastia FR2
25.09.2021 Bastia Bastia 2-0 HT 0-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
20.04.2014 Bastia Bastia 2-1 HT 1-1 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR1
04.12.2013 Ajaccio Ajaccio 1-1 HT 0-1 Bastia Bastia FR1
29.10.2013 Bastia Bastia 1-0 HT 1-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FRLK

Bastia 1-0 Ajaccio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bastia
1 - 0
AWAY Ajaccio
55% Ball Possession 45%
4 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
REVIEW Bastia vs Ajaccio
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Bastia shaded a tight game against Ajaccio 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 38% / 26%) promised a tight game; Bastia found the edge the numbers couldn't. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (76%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came home.

Under the surface, possession split 55% to 45% in Bastia's favour, shots finished 4-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bastia had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Bastia against 0.67 for Ajaccio.

Bastia vs Ajaccio Result & Final Score

Bastia 1 - 0 Ajaccio in the France - Ligue 2 on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Bastia vs Ajaccio Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bastia 36%, draw 38%, Ajaccio 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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