General Caballero JLM 2-2 Cerro Porteno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 5 Feb 2024

📅05/02/2024 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.71
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
56%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
14%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+1.5pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.2pp
56%
Away Win
60%
-3.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME General Caballero JLM EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 64%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.70/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/0.74
-25% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +3%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME General Caballero JLM
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cerro Porteno
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 1-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
23.07.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-0 HT 1-0 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
21.05.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-2 HT 1-0 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
21.03.2023 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 2-3 HT 2-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
28.10.2022 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-1 HT 1-0 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
27.08.2022 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 1-1 HT 0-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME General Caballero JLM
2-2
AWAY Cerro Porteno
27% Ball Possession 73%
3 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH General Caballero JLM vs Cerro Porteno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

General Caballero JLM and Cerro Porteno couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Cerro Porteno at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, General Caballero JLM had 27% of the ball to Cerro Porteno's 73%, shots finished 3-24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for General Caballero JLM and 1.67 for Cerro Porteno.

What was the final score of General Caballero JLM vs Cerro Porteno?

General Caballero JLM 2-2 Cerro Porteno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for General Caballero JLM vs Cerro Porteno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split General Caballero JLM 20%, draw 24%, Cerro Porteno 56%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✗ BTTS No
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