Tondela vs Paços De Ferreira Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tondela v Paços De Ferreira — Team-Based Signals
Tondela vs Paços De Ferreira Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-1
HT 4-0
Tondela
POR2
1-1
HT 0-1
Tondela
POR
0-1
HT 0-0
Paços De Ferreira
POR
2-3
HT 2-2
Paços De Ferreira
POR
2-1
HT 1-0
Tondela
POR
2-1
HT 1-0
Tondela
POR
Tondela 1-1 Paços De Ferreira — Actual Match Statistics
Tondela and Paços De Ferreira shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Tondela at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Tondela had 32% of the ball to Paços De Ferreira's 68%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 0.90 to 0.98.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paços De Ferreira led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tondela and 2.33 for Paços De Ferreira.
What was the final score of Tondela vs Paços De Ferreira?
Tondela 1-1 Paços De Ferreira in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tondela vs Paços De Ferreira?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tondela win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tondela 43%, draw 28%, Paços De Ferreira 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tondela), BTTS No went the other way.