Leixoes U23 1-2 Portimonense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 5 Feb 2024

Leixoes U23
1-2 HT 0-1
Portimonense U23
📅05/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - U23 National Championship – 2023/2024

Leixoes U23 vs Portimonense U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.38
Draw
37%
3.45
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
2.03
Over 2.5
39%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
15%
X/1
4%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
38%
-7.3pp
37%
Draw
26%
+10.8pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
45%
+15.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
55%
-15.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leixoes U23 v Portimonense U23 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes U23 EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 39%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-67% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
348 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards –

Leixoes U23 1-2 Portimonense U23 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes U23
1-2
AWAY Portimonense U23
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Leixoes U23 vs Portimonense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portimonense U23 squeezed past Leixoes U23 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (31% / 37% / 32%) promised a tight game; Portimonense U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leixoes U23 had 55% of the ball to Portimonense U23's 45%, shots finished 9-11.

What was the final score of Leixoes U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Leixoes U23 1-2 Portimonense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Leixoes U23 31%, draw 37%, Portimonense U23 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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