Casa Pia 0-0 Boavista — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 5 Feb 2024

Casa Pia
0-0 HT 0-0
Boavista
📅05/02/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2023/2024

Casa Pia vs Boavista Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.84
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.06
6+ Goals
10%
19.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.87
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
11%
13.7
X/1
17%
4.42
X/2
15%
6.84
X/X
12%
4.28
2/1
5%
27.5
2/2
10%
5.3
2/X
5%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Casa Pia v Boavista — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casa Pia EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Boavista EU Bookmakers 31%
-8% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.23/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.42
-25% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
21.6 Crosses 14.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0

Casa Pia vs Boavista Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casa Pia
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Boavista
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
0.89 xG 1.28
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
299 Passes 424
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.08.2023 Boavista Boavista 1-1 HT 0-1 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR
14.02.2023 Boavista Boavista 0-0 HT 0-0 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR
21.08.2022 Casa Pia Casa Pia 2-0 HT 0-0 Boavista Boavista POR
03.08.2019 Casa Pia Casa Pia 2-0 HT 0-0 Boavista Boavista PORLC

Casa Pia 0-0 Boavista — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casa Pia
0-0
AWAY Boavista
0.40 xG 0.13
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 4
0 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 3
345 Passes 429
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Casa Pia vs Boavista
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casa Pia and Boavista played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Casa Pia had 45% of the ball to Boavista's 55%, shots finished 6-4, expected goals 0.40 to 0.13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Casa Pia had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Casa Pia and 0.25 for Boavista.

What was the final score of Casa Pia vs Boavista?

Casa Pia 0-0 Boavista in the Portugal - Premier League on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casa Pia vs Boavista?

Before kick-off our model rated a Casa Pia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Casa Pia 39%, draw 27%, Boavista 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Casa Pia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Casa Pia) ✓ Under 2.5
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