FCSB 1-1 SSC Farul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 5 Feb 2024

📅05/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
30%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.67
2-3 Goals
45%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.27
6+ Goals
10%
11.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.67 — our 25% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-10.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
30%
Away Win
20%
+10.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FCSB EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY SSC Farul EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +16%
1.32/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/2.06
+11% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
398 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FCSB
3W-0D-3L
AWAY SSC Farul
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.44 xG 1.61
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.09.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 0-1 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
21.05.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 3-2 HT 1-2 FCSB FCSB ROM
17.04.2023 FCSB FCSB 2-1 HT 1-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
29.01.2023 FCSB FCSB 2-3 HT 0-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
31.08.2022 SSC Farul SSC Farul 3-1 HT 2-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
25.04.2022 SSC Farul SSC Farul 0-4 HT 0-3 FCSB FCSB ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FCSB
1-1
AWAY SSC Farul
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FCSB vs SSC Farul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FCSB and SSC Farul shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was FCSB at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FCSB had 57% of the ball to SSC Farul's 43%, shots finished 14-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FCSB and 1.67 for SSC Farul.

What was the final score of FCSB vs SSC Farul?

FCSB 1-1 SSC Farul in the Romania - 1st Division on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FCSB vs SSC Farul?

Before kick-off our model rated a FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FCSB 46%, draw 23%, SSC Farul 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FCSB), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FCSB) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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